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Why is Bangladesh’s GDP growing despite Covid-19, while other economies are contracting?

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India’s gross domestic product will contract by 10.3% and per capita income by 11.2% in 2020-21, while Bangladesh’s GDP will increase by 3.8% and per capita income will reduce by 2.9%, according to projections from the International Monetary Fund. In nominal US dollars, India’s per capita GDP is projected to be $1,877 in 2020-21, compared to $1,888 for Bangladesh.

In constant US dollars at purchasing power parity (the rate at which different currencies can be compared), India will still have a greater per capita income ($5,945) than Bangladesh ($4,861), and both economies have been impacted by Covid-19.

But the impact on India has been far greater than on Bangladesh. We spoke to Ahsan H Mansur, chairperson of BRAC bank, which funds small and medium enterprises in Bangladesh, to understand what helped Bangladesh maintain a positive economic growth rate when compared to other economies, not just India.

Mansur has previously worked with the International Monetary Fund as the division chief of the Middle East and is the founder of the Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh.

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What has sustained Bangladesh’s economy in the last year and through the pandemic, given that the numbers seem to suggest that the economy will continue to expand, whereas, in most parts of the world, economies are contracting?
I think Bangladesh has been doing remarkably steadily and quite well in terms of macroeconomic performance. It did not have any balance of payment shocks in the last 20-30 years.

Macroeconomic stability has been one of its founding cornerstones and that has helped the growth process to be sustained, and it also maintains exchange rate stability related to the Indian currency. That is why, in dollar terms, there is an acceleration of growth in Bangladesh compared with India, because of the change of stability factor, which is underpinned by its solid macro foundation. Bangladesh’s macroeconomic performance is also a reflection of its very prudent fiscal management.

The fiscal deficit is very much under control between 3.5-4.5%. Generally, despite the fiscal targets being set at 5%, the outturn is less than the fiscal target. So that is very strong performance and that anchors the economic performance in terms of inflationary performance and exchange rate stability.

It is also underpinned by good solid external sector developments like exports, which have historically done very well. [Exports have had] double-digit growth, on average, for the last 30 years. Remittances [from abroad] have done very well and have also worked as a countercyclical factor. Even during this pandemic, the remittance is at an all-time high. And not only simply high, it is about 20% more compared with last year, same time. So it is acting as very much of a solid shock absorber for our economic system and for the rural economy.

These factors add up. And the result is that although Bangladesh has not done too well in terms of economic reforms in the fundamental sense, which we always complain about, its export performance, remittance performance and the resilience of the private sector in the domestic economy has made growth very much an impressive outcome.

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Smart Technologies syndicate sips millions of dollars from IDRA automation

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A syndicate led by Smart Technologies, backed by former finance minister AHM Mustafa Kamal’s daughter Nafisa Kamal, has allegedly siphoned off millions of dollars from a foreign-funded project of the Insurance Development and Regulatory Authority (IDRA).
Despite the $67 million project aimed at developing Bangladesh’s insurance sector, no tangible improvement in financial security has been observed, according to a media investigation.
A few companies, including Smart Technologies and eGeneration, have reportedly misappropriated project funds, with Nafisa Kamal positioned as the frontwoman, sources confirmed.
The World Bank-funded IDRA project was designed to enhance the administrative and documentation capacities of insurance institutions by increasing the use of technology.

A source revealed that the Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Department (IMED) of the planning ministry could not take any action on the project due to Smart Technologies’ association with Nafisa Kamal. Consequently, most of the funds from the insurance development project were smuggled abroad in a ‘very systematic way’.
The Smart Technologies-led syndicate in the insurance sector development project included Nafisa Kamal’s NK Solutions, China-based Sinosoft, CNS, and Shameem Ahsan’s eGeneration. Project sources revealed that project management specialist Nazrul Islam Bhuiyan coordinated the entire process from IDRA to extract dollars.

Project Director Md Kamruzzaman reportedly refrained from opposing the syndicate, allegedly due to his ambition for a promotion in government service. He seemingly operated as a close ally of Nafisa Kamal. Project documents reveal that Nafisa Kamal got the IDRA project approved by showing joint ownership with almost every participating institution.
On 22 May 2023, project officials approved a contract for $1.21 million for a joint venture between NK Solutions and eGeneration, led by BASIS’s former president Shameem Ahsan.
In addition to this, Shameem and Nafisa’s syndicate received a further Tk17.7 million in local currency. Despite this substantial withdrawal, there has been no visible improvement in the research facilities at the Bangladesh Insurance Academy in Mohakhali.

On 30 March 2022, Project Director Kamruzzaman approved Smart Technologies as the second-lowest bidder (L-2) for the supply of IT and supporting network infrastructure, servers, and storage for the first phase of $10.3 million. In this phase, an additional Tk 26.3 million was allocated to Smart Technologies, which has flourished over the past decade with backing from the Awami League.
In February 2023, a further $9.68 million was awarded to Smart Technologies for IT infrastructure support for IDRA, general insurance, and life insurance. Again, Smart Technologies was the second-lowest bidder (L-2). According to project sources, Smart Technologies secured the entire sum despite completing less than 20% of the technical support required.
At the end of the last fiscal year, on 20 June, Smart Technologies signed a joint venture agreement with NK Solutions and Sinosoft, valued at $76 million. An additional Tk 23.1 million was allocated to the project in local currency.

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On 21 August 2022, Chinese company Sinosoft received $11.1 million for developing the project’s website, customer relationship management system, and call centre. On the same day, Sinosoft was awarded an additional $9.17 million for insurance management software known as RegTech.
On 31 May 2022, another technology company, Computer Network System (CNS), was awarded Tk230.4 million for enterprise resource planning (ERP) software and email management. However, CNS failed to provide the original software licenses, contributing to the misappropriation of project funds.
On 24 May 2022, a joint venture between India’s Xerox India and Bangladesh’s IOE was approved for a $54 million contract to supply a ‘Document Management System’. In this phase, the syndicate received an additional Tk173.6 million.

It has been discovered that this money from the insurance project was invested by Shameem Ahsan, who is favoured by Salman F Rahman, in capital market generation. Gaining proximity to Hasina as the president of BASIS, he eventually became a director of the state-owned Agrani Bank.
According to project documents, on 21 December 2023, Project Director Kamruzzaman approved a $1.71 million contract for the supply of cybersecurity, ransomware, and endpoint protection products to Nafisa Kamal’s joint venture company NK Solutions, Express Systems, and Aspire Tech Services, with a 28-day deadline. In this phase, the syndicate received an additional Tk5.8 million.
Although official figures indicate lower amounts, investigations suggest that Tk8 billion from this project was diverted to Smart Technologies and Nafisa Kamal’s NK Solutions. Despite the three-year duration of the insurance development project, officials from IDRA confirm that the state of the financial security sector remains unchanged.

Following the fall of the Awami League government on 5 August 2024, Mustafa Kamal, also known as Lotus Kamal, and his daughter Nafisa Kamal moved to Singapore with their family.
“The World Bank project for insurance development has not progressed, but the funds are being withdrawn. Additionally, foreign software firms are involved, meaning money is being siphoned out of the country,” said a former president of the Bangladesh Association of Software and Information Services (BASIS), on condition of anonymity.
This former BASIS president suggested that if domestic firms were responsible for the technical support and software development for the insurance sector, the equivalent of $30 million could have been saved.
Nafisa Kamal and Smart Technologies Chairman Mazharul Islam, Managing Director Zahirul Islam did not respond to phone calls regarding the irregularities in the project.

Source:Daily Sun

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BSEC chairman Shibli Rubayat resigns

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Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Prof Shibli Rubayat-Ul Islam resigned today.

He sent his resignation letter to the official concerned at the finance ministry.

He stepped down citing health reasons, said Abdur Rahman, secretary of the Financial Institutions Division of the Ministry of Finance, confirming receipt of the letter.

The development came five days after Sheikh Hasina’s government fell and she fled Bangladesh in the face of a civil uprising.

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Islam has remained absent from work for the past several days.

Islam, a Dhaka University teacher, was appointed as chairman of the BSEC in 2020. Last May, he was reappointed for another four-year tenure.

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Progressive Life Insurance Company organizes 199th Board Meeting

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The 199th board meeting of Progressive life Insurance Company Limited (PLICL) was held in the organization’s corporate office in the capital’s National Scout Bhaban on Wednesday 10 July 2024. It was presided over by PLICL Acting Chairman M. Shoeb Chowdhury.

The meeting was also attended by Directors viz Bajloor Rashid, MBE, Zakariya Ahad,Mezanur Rahman,DR. Md. Jamil Sharif, Phd, FCMA,DR. Tazrina Farah,Babel Miah,Kamal Miah, M A Karim,Gulam Mostafa Ahmed. Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Md. Saidul Amin, Additional Managing Director Md. Mizanur Rahman Shipon, Senior Executive Vice President & Company Secretary Abdullah Al Mansur.

The participants in the meeting talked about pending claim settlements, business development plans and laid emphasis on complying with regulatory norms, laws and principals.

The officials of Progressive life Insurance Company Limited greeted the newly appointed Acting Chairman M. Shoeb Chowdhury with flowers at the beginning of the meeting.

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