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Nicaragua breaks diplomatic relations with Taiwan

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China says Taiwan is one of its provinces with no right to the trappings of a state, and has stepped up pressure to win away Taiwan’s remaining allies.

China’s ambassador at the United Nations, Zhang Jun, congratulated Nicaragua.

“We highly commend the right decision made by the Government of Nicaragua, which is in line with the prevailing trend of the time and people’s aspiration,” he said in a tweet. “The One-China principle is a consensus widely accepted by the international community and allows no challenge.”

The break with Taiwan is a blow to the United States. It follows months of worsening ties between Ortega and Washington, and came on the day the U.S. State Department said it had slapped sanctions on Nestor Moncada Lau, a national security adviser to Ortega, alleging he operates an import and customs fraud scheme to enrich members of Ortega’s government.

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The White House and State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Last month U.S. President Joe Biden ripped into Ortega, calling Nicaragua’s presidential election a “pantomime” as the former Marxist guerrilla and Cold War adversary of the United States won election for a fourth consecutive term.WATCH NOWVIDEO03:15China is ‘really frustrated’ with deepening U.S.-Taiwan ties, says defense analyst

One Taiwan-based diplomatic source, familiar with the region, said the move was not a surprise given Washington’s lack of leverage with Ortega due to the sanctions, and that looking to China for aid and support was a natural course of action.

“It appears that Ortega had had enough,” the source told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Nicaragua’s move leaves Taiwan with just 14 formal diplomatic allies, most of them in Latin America and the Caribbean, plus a handful of small states.

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It also follows threats by the incoming leaders of Honduras to break with Taipei. However, since the Honduran election last month, the team around incoming President Xiomara Castro has rowed back from that position somewhat.

Before Nicaragua, Taiwan lost two allies in quick succession in September of 2019, when the Solomon Islands and Kiribati went over to Beijing.

China

Jack Ma to relinquish control of Ant Group

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China’s Ant Group said on Saturday that its founder Jack Ma will no longer control the Chinese fintech giant after the firm’s shareholders agreed to implement a series of shareholding adjustments that will see him give up most of his voting rights.

Ma previously possessed more than 50% of voting rights at Ant but the changes will mean that his share falls to 6.2%, according to Reuters calculations.

While Ma only owns a 10% stake in Ant, an affiliate of e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (9988.HK), he exercised control over the company through related entities, according to Ant’s IPO prospectus filed with the exchanges in 2020.

Hangzhou Yunbo, an investment vehicle for Ma, had control over two other entities that own a combined 50.5% stake of Ant, the prospectus showed.

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India seeks to overtake China as the fastest growing economy in the world

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India is going to step up spending to $529.7 billion in the 2022-23 fiscal year to build public infrastructure and drive economic growth to 8-8.5%, as it looks to dethrone China as the fastest growing economy. 

Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, while presenting the annual budget on Tuesday, said total government spending in FY23, beginning in April, will be 4.6% more than the current 2021-22 fiscal year.

But inflation poses a major risk for the country in achieving the targeted economic growth rate, according to an economic survey tabled by Sitharaman just a day ago.  

There is a threat of imported inflation from the depreciating rupee value against the US dollar and the rising global oil prices that have touched $90 a barrel last week, the survey found.

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“Although the high wholesale price index inflation is partly due to base effects and will even out, India does need to be wary of imported inflation, especially from elevated global energy prices,” the survey reads.

The consumer price index (CPI) or retail inflation shot up to 5.59% in December last year from 4.91% in November.

What does high inflation in India mean for Bangladesh? 

Zahid Hussain, former lead economist at the World Bank Bangladesh office, said that even before this year’s proposed budget, India’s rising inflation was identified as one of the biggest challenges behind the country’s rapid economic growth.

“I think this inflation will continue even in the third wave of the ongoing coronavirus in the country. And if that happens, it will affect our economy as well. In particular, our import costs may increase slightly,” Hussain warned.

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“Our business and economic ties with India are very old. Moreover, the import-export relationship between the two countries is quite strong. Especially our imports from India have been increasing for the last few years,” he told media.

“A recent Policy Times report predicted that Bangladesh would be the fourth largest export destination for India in the current FY22. So, Bangladesh is becoming important for them day by day. However, if this picture of import is different for us, the open market will remain,” the economist also said.

Shahidullah Azim, vice-president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA), said that Bangladesh imports yarn, fabric, cotton, and some other apparel-related raw materials from India.

“If the inflation rate rises in India, it will have an impact on the overall economic activity of the country. So naturally, there is a strong possibility that the prices of the products we import will go up,” he added.

However, he said, in this global free-market economy, there is no chance of being dependent on any particular country for both export and import.

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“If the prices of Indian products go up, we have to find another market to meet our import demand,” he added.

He also said that there are many countries in the world that export RMG related raw materials.

“If the prices go out of our reach, then we have to rush to those countries to find new import sources,” he added.

A director of Savar-based Aboni Fashions Limited also said their factory imports a major portion of yarn and fabric from India.

“Being a neighbouring country, it is quite convenient to import raw materials from India as it saves costs and lead time,” he added.

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But if the price of apparel-related raw materials increases due to inflation, it is natural to look for a new market, he added.

In the first seven months of the current fiscal year (April-October of 2021), Bangladesh’s imports from India increased by 81% over the same period of the previous fiscal year, amounting to approximately $7.7 billion.

Spending spree to boost growth in FY23 

India will allocate trillions of rupees to expressways, affordable housing and solar manufacturing to put growth on a firmer footing in FY23, the Indian finance minister said while presenting the budget on Tuesday.

Sitharaman said public investment must continue to take the lead and pump prime private investment and demand.

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“The economy has shown strong resilience to come out of the effects of the pandemic with high growth. However, we need to sustain that level to make up for the setback of 2020-21,” she said.

She announced spending of $2.68 billion for a highway expansion programme and said 400 new trains would be manufactured over the next three years, reports Reuters.

The fiscal deficit for the current year would be 6.9% of the GDP, slightly more than the 6.8% targeted earlier, the finance minister also said.

For the next fiscal year, the Modi government is targeting a deficit of 6.4% of GDP, hoping to build on higher tax revenues and privatisation of state firms.

Abheek Barua, chief economist of HDFC Bank, told Reuters that the 2022-23 budget finely balanced fiscal retreat with supporting economic recovery. 

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“It focused on a familiar strategy of driving capital expenditure to drive growth, with the intention of crowding in private investment through higher public spending. Although markets could be disappointed with a higher fiscal deficit of 6.4% of GDP for FY23 than expected, it is perhaps prudent to not undertake aggressive fiscal consolidation at this nascent stage of recovery,” he added.

Christian de Guzman, senior vice president at Moody’s Investors Service, said: “Despite the higher-than-expected growth, we still saw a fiscal deficit that was wider than what was budgeted. That continues to demonstrate the risks that are still ongoing from the pandemic.”

Sitharaman also said the central bank would introduce a digital currency in the next fiscal year using blockchain and other supporting technology.

But India’s central bank has voiced “serious concerns” around private cryptocurrencies on the grounds that these may cause financial instability.

Financial aid for neighbours, Tk345 crore for Bangladesh

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Meanwhile, India has also announced a Rs300 crore (approximately Tk345 crore) annual budgetary financial assistance for Bangladesh in FY23, up from the Rs200 crore (Tk230 crore) in the current fiscal year.

It has also allocated Rs200 crore as aid to Taliban-ruled Afghanistan and Rs600 crore to military-run Myanmar. 

Nepal will get Rs750 crore as foreign aid from India, the Maldives will get Rs360 crore, Bhutan will get Rs2,266.24 crore, and Mauritius will get Rs900 crore.

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Taiwan reports new large-scale Chinese air force incursion

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TAIPEI, Jan 23 (Reuters) – Taiwan on Sunday reported the largest incursion since October by China’s air force in its air defence zone, with the island’s defence ministry saying Taiwanese fighters scrambled to warn away 39 aircraft in the latest uptick in tensions.

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