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World mobile money transaction rises to $1.26 Trillion in 2022

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By Mojahidul Islam

Mobile money services are growing faster than predicted around the globe, as digital services continue to rise in popularity, according to the GSMA’s annual ‘State of the Industry Report on Mobile Money 2023’, published today.

The report, published annually by the GSMA and funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, demonstrates that rates of adoption are even quicker than expected, with the number of registered mobile money accounts growing by 13% year on year, from 1.4 billion in 2021 to 1.6 billion in 2022. While it took the industry 17 years to reach the first 800 million customers, this is extremely significant growth as it has taken just five years to reach the next 800 million. 

In 2022, daily transactions via mobile money reached $3.45 billion, exceeding the $3 billion amount predicted in 2021. Total transaction value for mobile money grew by an incredible 22% between 2021 and 2022, from $1 trillion to around $1.26 trillion.  

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However, in many areas worldwide, more work is still needed to help give underserved communities access to safe, secure and affordable financial services. With 1.4 billion people worldwide remaining unbanked, the GSMA Mobile Money Programme (https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/mobile-money/) is working with mobile operators and industry stakeholders worldwide to create a robust mobile money ecosystem,  increasing the relevancy and utility of these services and ensuring their sustainability. 

The 2023 report shows there are now 315 live mobile money deployments across the globe, with peer to peer (P2P) transfers and cash-in/cash-out transactions still among the most popular use cases. Bill payments using mobile money grew by 36% year-on-year – faster than any other use case – and the industry continues to focus on use case diversification, playing an important role in digitising economies.   

Pandemic-driven uptake

As the world increasingly moves on from COVID-19, mobile money services have continued to show resilient growth that was instigated during the pandemic. Up to 400 million accounts were added during the pandemic alone. This rapid uptake is largely due to the technology’s role in enabling millions of people across low- and middle-income countries to access digital financial services. This upward trend continues, with the number of accounts active on a 30-day basis also growing by 13 per cent year-on-year to 401 million in 2022.

The report also shows that, during 2022, mobile money-enabled international remittances grew by 28% year on year – to $22 billion. During the pandemic, many diasporas sent more funds via mobile money to friends and family than ever before. As a result, international remittances grew significantly in both 2020 and 2021, as many senders favoured mobile money for its efficiency, speed, safety and cost-effectiveness. The trend continued in 2022, albeit at a slower rate.

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Closing the gender gap

Mobile money is also continuing to drive financial inclusion for the world’s unbanked, particularly amongst women in rural communities, where access to mobile money can play a transformational and empowering role.

However, according to the latest GSMA data, there is still a mobile money gender gap that has shown signs of widening over the last year, particularly in India, Indonesia and Pakistan. Mobile phone ownership is one of the main drivers of the mobile money gender gap, however, a number of other barriers and cultural norms also prevent women from adopting mobile money. As a result, women in low- and middle-income countries are currently 28% less likely than men to own a mobile money account. 

Growing agency networks

The number of mobile money agents also increased significantly last year, with a 41% increase between 2021 and 2022. The overall number of agents went from 12 million in 2021 to 17.4 million in 2022. The number of active agents increased by 25% to 7.2 million in 2022. A lot of this growth came from Nigeria, where a more liberal regulatory regime meant an increase in mobile money providers. Agents continued to prove to be an invaluable part of mobile money services and were responsible for two-thirds of all cash-in transactions in 2022.

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“It is promising to see the continued growth of mobile money worldwide. Mobile money has afforded millions of unbanked and underserved people in low- and middle- income countries access to digital financial services, for the first time,” said Max Cuvellier, Head of Mobile for Development, GSMA. “However, even with this significant growth, there is still a long way to go to bring those services to over a billion people worldwide who remain unbanked. The GSMA is therefore encouraging governments worldwide to keep developing the enabling policies that can support mobile money deployments and further boost the growth of this crucial ecosystem. Doing so helps accelerate the digitization of national economies and build financial resilience, allowing communities to support themselves in uncertain times.” 

To find out more, download the 2023 State of the Industry Report on Mobile Money here (https://www.gsma.com/sotir/) . Further information on the GSMA’s Mobile Money programme is available at www.gsma.com/mobilemoney.

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Business

Ryanair loses appeals against Italy’s COVID aid to airlines in EU Court

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The European Union’s General Court on Wednesday dismissed appeals lodged by Irish low-cost airline Ryanair against an Italian state aid scheme approved to support airlines during the COVID pandemic.

The court ruled that the aid scheme consisting of subsidies paid by Italy to airlines affected by the COVID-19 crisis “was compliant with EU law”, insofar as it did not breach the principle of non-discrimination, nor the principles of freedom to provide services and the freedom of establishment.

The budget airline had brought the case as it sought to annul a 2020 aid scheme set up by Italy to support airlines licensed in the country with a €130 million fund, which was later increased by €100 million.

The scheme was approved by the European Commission, the European authority vetting member states’ aid programs.

Ryanair alleged the aid was discriminatory and that the approval by the European Commission breached procedural rules.

The General Court initially struck down the Commission decision in 2023, although the top European tribunal, the Court of Justice, referred the case back to the General Court in 2025.

Back in April of this year, Ryanair won in another similar case in the EU’s Court of Justice against German state aid to its main airline Lufthansa during COVID.

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BIBM study finds uneven anti-money laundering enforcement in Bangladesh

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Bangladesh has a strict anti-money laundering framework, but implementation remains uneven across the banking sector, according to a paper presented yesterday.

Shah Mohammad Ahsan Habib, professor at the Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management (BIBM), presented the paper at a workshop titled “Trade Services Operations of Banks” held at the BIBM auditorium in Dhaka.

The paper said many banks lack centralised trade monitoring systems, automated red-flag detection, reliable price-benchmarking tools, vessel-tracking systems and trained trade compliance officers, limiting the effectiveness of the existing framework.

The weakness becomes more critical as Bangladesh Bank moves towards risk-based supervision, aiming to bring qualitative changes to the monitoring and regulation of banks.

Under the supervision, banks are expected to demonstrate not only compliance with circulars but also effective risk identification, mitigation, escalation, reporting and board-level accountability.

The paper lists several anti-money laundering (AML) mechanisms, including the Money Laundering Prevention Act, trade-based money laundering guidelines, and lastly, the goAML reporting platform, which was developed by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime to help Financial Intelligence Units combat money laundering and terrorist financing.

Besides Ahsan Habib, the paper was prepared by Tofayel Ahmed, assistant professor at the BIBM; Rahat Banu, assistant professor at the BIBM; Rajib Kumar Das, lecturer at the BIBM; Mohammad Arafat Ali, additional director of the Foreign Exchange Policy Department-1 at Bangladesh Bank; and ATM Nesarul Hoque, executive vice president of Mutual Trust Bank PLC.

The paper said the core concern in Bangladesh is not the absence of compliance rules but the lack of a strong compliance culture across many banks and trade finance operations.

It said weak screening, poor price verification, inadequate beneficial ownership checks, fragmented branch-level decisions, manual document reviews and limited coordination with customs, BFIU, NBR and Bangladesh Bank create significant risks, enabling over-invoicing, under-invoicing, false shipment documentation, capital flight, sanctions exposure and trade-based money laundering.

Focus group discussions also indicated that weak compliance is affecting Bangladesh’s external banking relationships. Banks reported limited access to foreign credit lines and difficulties obtaining LC (letter of credit) confirmation from correspondent banks because of rising country risk perceptions.

The paper said compliance failures now directly affect trade settlement capacity, access to foreign funding, transaction costs and Bangladesh’s credibility in international banking.

The BB governor said some local banks are burdened with toxic assets, creating distrust. Other banks are reluctant to purchase their bills, fearing commitments will not be honoured, eroding confidence in both individual banks and the country.

SMEs struggle with imports because they rely on middlemen, raising costs and reducing competitiveness. Recalling an example from 2000, he said an SME importer tried to enter the third-party market cooperation (TPMC) market with a $100,000 LC, but a market giant immediately halved prices to drive it out.

Despite these challenges, SMEs perform well in exports, particularly in non-traditional sectors. Banks support them through advances, bill discounting and back-to-back export financing, he added.

Faruk Ahmed, deputy managing director of City Bank PLC; Syed Sazzad Haider Chowdhury, deputy managing director at Prime Bank PLC; Mahmudur Rahman, deputy managing director at the Islami Bank Bangladesh PLC; Md Ali Hossain Prodhania, chairman at the NRBC Bank PLC; and Md Ezazul Islam, director general of BIBM, also spoke at the event.

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IMF lowers 2026 world growth forecast

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The IMF on Wednesday cut its 2026 growth projection for the world economy again, saying an AI boom has not fully offset the fallout from war in the Middle East.

Global economic growth is now estimated at 3.0 percent this year, the International Monetary Fund said, down from 3.1 percent in its April forecast. The estimate was made before fresh exchanges of fire between the United States and Iran in recent hours.

It is the second time this year that the fund has lowered its overall growth expectations. The latest estimate marks a cooling from the 2025 growth rate as well.

Global inflation meanwhile is anticipated to accelerate to 4.7 percent this year, a higher level than earlier projected. Still, the overall growth slowdown is modest, as momentum in artificial intelligence — driven by demand — partially offsets the effects of the war.
The IMF said it expects global growth to pick up in 2027 to 3.4 percent.

Deniz Igan, division chief at the IMF’s research department, told AFP that its forecasts are “broadly unchanged” cumulatively for the next two years and described the bounceback as “a V-shaped recovery.”

The delayed recovery from war on Iran, longer disruptions and higher prices is part of the reason the world economy will take a bigger hit this year, she added.

The IMF flagged that fallout varies widely.

“Energy exporters outside the conflict zone benefit from favorable terms of trade, whereas economies plugged into the technology-led upturn experience stronger activity even if they are energy importers,” the fund said.

“In contrast, activity weakens for energy importers with limited participation in the technology value chain,” it added.

US-Israeli strikes targeting Iran since February 28 sparked Tehran’s retaliation in virtually blocking off the Strait of Hormuz, while plunging the Middle East into war.

As traffic stalled in the key waterway for energy transit, global oil prices soared — weighing on economies.

Oil and gas shipments resumed as a temporary US-Iran deal paused hostilities, but temperatures are again rising.

Igan — speaking before hostilities resumed, sparked by Iranian attacks on ships in the strait — said she expected the normalization of traffic through the waterway by 2027.

– ‘Glaring differences’ –

Although the world economy has weathered the shock from the war so far better than feared, the IMF warned: “The global picture blurs glaring differences across countries.” Retail gasoline costs jumped by 30 percent in emerging Asia after the onset of war, and only by 15 percent in Latin America.

While the US economy is still set to expand 2.3 percent this year, growth in the Middle East and central Asia was downgraded by 1.2 percentage points to 0.7 percent.

The downgrade is “consistent with a longer closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” the IMF said, but it added that it expects a larger rebound in the future.

The euro area is set to grow 0.9 percent this year, also a downward revision. Growth in France is pegged at 0.6 percent — 0.3 percentage points lower than earlier expected.

The world’s second biggest economy, China, saw its growth projection adjusted upwards slightly to 4.6 percent.

Yet, the effects of the war have not fully passed through, the IMF said.

The release of strategic reserves has provided some relief amid reduced energy flows, but there could still be weakness ahead.

The IMF also warned that the possibility of a “renewed Middle East conflict looms large and could extend commodity price volatility, further threaten supply chains, raise prices, and weigh on financial conditions.”

Trade fragmentation could accelerate too, risking higher prices.

Nonetheless, there were some bright spots, the IMF said.

There was a “positive surprise” from some economies key to the global technology supply chain, despite their exposure to disruptions from the war.

The top four net exporters of AI-related hardware — Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand and Malaysia — saw resilient growth.

Igan added that expectations of higher inflation this year merely mark a pause, “not a break from the disinflation trend.”

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